richardting的外匯交易日誌部落格

當英國數據與美國數據公佈之後，零售指數略低於前值，GBP/USB應聲而跌：

Retail Sales

Actual

0.20%

Forecast

0.30%

Previous

0.80%

The Retail Sales is a monthly measurement of all goods sold by retailers based on a sampling of retail stores of different types and sizes in the UK. It is an important indicator of consumer spending and also correlated to consumer confidence and considered as a pace indicator of the UK economy.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the GBP, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the GBP.

美國數據略好於預期，我們可以看到以下數據：

CPI

Actual

0.50%

Forecast

0.20%

Previous

-0.20%

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the changes in the price of goods and services.
The CPI measures price change from the perspective of the consumer.
It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation in the US. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD (as the common way to fight inflation is raising rates, which may attract foreign investment), while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

消費者信心指數已經略微高於前值，所以市場對這個指數的反應已經開始變得很明顯；

CB Leading Index

Actual

0.50%

Forecast

0.20%

Previous

0.30%

The CB Leading Indicators Index measures overall economic health by combining 10 indicators such as building permits, new orders, money supply, average workweek. Therefore, the report is extremely predictable and of very little interest to the market.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

由以上的信息我們可以看到這些重大數據的公佈對於匯市的影響有多大，這就是為什麼有基礎信息分析的存在；